President Donald Trump gave an tackle to the members of america Congress on Tuesday. He spoke on his government actions within the first few weeks in workplace, his plans for his presidency. We labored to confirm the claims made through the speech. Get the information under:On the Southern BorderClaim: “Inside hours of taking the oath of workplace, I declared a nationwide emergency on our southern border, and I deployed the US army and border patrol to repel the invasion of our nation, and what a job they’ve achieved because of this. Unlawful border crossings, final month, have been by far the bottom ever recorded, ever. They heard my phrases, they usually selected to not come, a lot simpler that means. Compared, beneath Joe Biden, the worst president in American historical past, there have been a whole bunch of 1000s of unlawful crossings a month, and nearly all of them, together with murderers, drug sellers, gang members and other people from psychological establishments and insane asylums have been launched into our nation.”Get the Info: The Hearst Tv Knowledge Crew analyzed ICE arrest and deportation knowledge from the Workplace of Homeland Safety Statistics to offer a extra contextual take a look at how the previous few administrations have carried out immigration insurance policies.The latest full knowledge on ICE arrests and deportations from the Workplace of Homeland Safety Statistics is three months behind, with ICE working towards publishing enforcement statistics each month, in line with an ICE spokesperson.Get the Info within the associated story under On InflationClaim: “Joe Biden particularly let the worth of EGGS get uncontrolled—and we’re working laborious to get it again down. A significant focus of our battle to defeat inflation is quickly lowering the price of power.”Get the Info: The Hearst Tv Knowledge staff just lately analyzed costs and located the worth of eggs has fluctuated during the last two years, starting from its highest worth – $4.95 per dozen – to a low in August 2023 of $2.04 per dozen. Costs have been practically as excessive as they’re now within the winter and spring of 2023, when an outbreak of avian flu led to decrease provides. Equally, the USDA says costs are at present excessive resulting from a lack of manufacturing resulting from avian flu. Whereas the USDA predicts manufacturing to extend this 12 months, in addition they predict that the worth of eggs will enhance 41% in 2025. Whereas the Trump administration is optimistic its new plan to deal with avian flu will assist costs, economists say they don’t see a lot altering over the subsequent few months.Learn extra:President Trump releases plan for avian flu: https://apnews.com/article/record-egg-prices-usda-bird-flu-virus-92e9f5fbc4e0a792be484a4aee5b9c16USDA Poultry, Dairy, Livestock outlook February 2025: https://ers.usda.gov/websites/default/recordsdata/_laserfiche/outlooks/110972/LDP-M-368.pdf?v=21887Claim: Trump claimed that inflation is the worst the U.S. has seen in 48 years, saying, “We suffered the worst inflation in 48 years, however maybe even within the historical past of our nation.”Get the Info: The Bureau of Labor Statistics screens and retains data about inflation. Trump’s suggestion that inflation beneath the Biden Administration was the worst in U.S. historical past is just not supported by historic knowledge. In line with BLS knowledge, inflation charges through the late Seventies and early Nineteen Eighties have been considerably larger than in recent times. In line with BLS and factcheck.org, the interval from June 1919 to June 1920 noticed the most important 12-month enhance of the Shopper Worth Index in U.S. historical past. At the moment, the CPI rose to 23.7 %. Beneath the Biden Administration, inflation reached its highest peak of 9.1% in June 2022. That was the most important enhance since November 1981, in line with BLS. The Hearst Tv Knowledge Crew additionally examined the January inflation and Shopper Worth Index numbers and located that it was a setback for the financial system.Learn extra: Shopper Worth Index: https://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2014/article/one-hundred-years-of-price-change-the-consumer-price-index-and-the-american-inflation-experience.htmFactcheck.org beforehand fact-checked Trump’s related feedback about inflation throughout his 2025 inaugural tackle: https://www.factcheck.org/2025/01/factchecking-trumps-inaugural-address/ BLS’ Shopper Worth Index information launch from June 2022: https://www.bls.gov/information.launch/archives/cpi_07132022.htm On Small BusinessesClaim: Trump stated that “small enterprise optimism noticed its single largest one-month acquire ever recorded—a 41-point leap.”Get the Info: The Nationwide Federation of Unbiased Enterprise tracks small enterprise optimism and releases a month-to-month survey. The survey launched in January 2025 exhibits there was a notable enhance in optimism following Trump’s election. Nonetheless, the determine of a “41-point leap” is not supported by that survey. The NFIB, in January 2025, reported that its Small Enterprise Optimism Index fell by 2.3 factors to 102.8. The month prior, in December 2024, a single section of the NFIB Small Enterprise Optimism Index survey confirmed that “the online % of homeowners anticipating the financial system to enhance rose 41 factors from October to a internet 36%.” NFIB stated that was the best since June 2020, and that “this element had the best impression on the general enhance within the Optimism Index.” Nonetheless, within the aforementioned January 2025 survey, NFIB stated that the online % of homeowners anticipating the financial system to enhance fell 5 factors from December.In releasing the survey in January, NFIB Chief Economist Invoice Dunkelberg stated, “General, small enterprise homeowners stay optimistic concerning future enterprise situations, however uncertainty is on the rise. Hiring challenges proceed to frustrate Predominant Road homeowners as they battle to search out certified staff to fill their many open positions. In the meantime, fewer plan capital investments as they put together for the months forward.”Learn extra: NFIB Month-to-month Report from January 2025: https://www.nfib.com/news-article/monthly_report/sbet/The NFIB launch from December 2024: https://www.nfib.com/news-article/new-nfib-survey-small-business-optimism-jumps-above-50-year-average-in-november/ On Metal and tariffsClaim: “And I’ve additionally impose a 25% tariff on international aluminum, copper, lumber and metal, as a result of if we do not have for example, metal and many different issues, we do not have a army, and admittedly, will not have we simply will not have a rustic very lengthy.”Get the Info: Trump claimed that tariffs can be the important thing to creating America wealthy once more. Whereas the results of Trump’s tariff has but to be seen, the Hearst Tv Knowledge Crew has investigated the place and from whom the U.S. imports its metal and aluminum. Get the Info within the associated story belowClaim: “Tariffs are about making America wealthy once more and making America nice once more,” Trump stated. “And it’s occurring. And it’ll occur slightly rapidly. There’ll be a bit disturbance, however we’re okay with that. It gained’t be a lot.”Get the Info: Trump is banking on the concept taxing imports is the highway to riches for america. Most economists say Trump’s tariffs would damage the nation, as they’re tax will increase that would increase the prices of products in ways in which might additionally hurt financial development. Trump means that the impression on inflation can be minimal.When the Yale College Price range Lab regarded on the tariffs that Trump imposed Tuesday on Canada, Mexico and China, it discovered that inflation would enhance a full proportion level, development would fall by half a proportion level and the typical family would lose about $1,600 in disposable revenue.Learn extra: AP protection of Trump’s speech: https://apnews.com/dwell/donald-trump-address-congress-updates On the path of the countryClaim: Trump stated that polls targeted on how Individuals really feel concerning the path the nation is headed in present that Individuals imagine the nation is headed in a optimistic path. Trump stated, “Now, for the primary time in fashionable historical past, extra Individuals imagine that our nation is headed within the RIGHT path than the WRONG path—a 27-point swing since Election Day.”Get the Info: A number of latest public opinion polls have touched on the topic. A Reuters/Ipsos survey launched the day of Trump’s tackle to Congress exhibits that “many Individuals stay pessimistic concerning the path of the nation usually.” That very same ballot exhibits that 34% of Individuals say the nation goes in the precise path, whereas 49% say it’s off on the improper observe.In its “Satisfaction With america” ballot, Gallup discovered that, normally, 77% of Individuals who have been polled stated they’re dissatisfied with the way in which issues are going. That’s in comparison with 20% who’re happy and three% who had no opinion.In its “path of the nation” polling, RealClear finds that 51.6% really feel the nation is on the improper observe whereas 42% say the nation is heading in the right direction.Learn extra:Ipsos/Reuters ballot launched the night time of Trump’s tackle to Congress: https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/three-five-americans-say-cost-living-going-wrong-directionGallup’s “Satisfaction With america” polling: https://information.gallup.com/ballot/1669/general-mood-country.aspxRealClear “Route of the Nation” polling: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of-the-union/direction-of-country On Social SecurityClaim: “Consider it or not, authorities databases listing 4.7 million Social Safety members from individuals aged 100 to 109 years previous. It lists 3.6 million individuals from ages 110 to 119.”Get the Info: The databases could listing these individuals, however that doesn’t imply they’re getting paid advantages, as Trump implied.Social Safety’s appearing administrator, Lee Dudek, stated final month: “The reported knowledge are individuals in our data with a Social Safety quantity who wouldn’t have a date of demise related to their document. These people usually are not essentially receiving advantages.”A part of the confusion comes from Social Safety’s software program system, which relies on the COBOL programming language and has an absence of date sort. Because of this some entries with lacking or incomplete birthdates will default to a reference level of greater than 150 years in the past.Learn extra:Tens of hundreds of thousands of useless persons are not receiving Social Safety funds, regardless of claims: https://apnews.com/article/social-security-payments-deceased-false-claims-doge-ed2885f5769f368853ac3615b4852cf7 The Related Press contributed to this story.
President Donald Trump gave an tackle to the members of america Congress on Tuesday. He spoke on his government actions within the first few weeks in workplace, his plans for his presidency. We labored to confirm the claims made through the speech. Get the information under:
On the Southern Border
Declare: “Inside hours of taking the oath of workplace, I declared a nationwide emergency on our southern border, and I deployed the US army and border patrol to repel the invasion of our nation, and what a job they’ve achieved because of this. Unlawful border crossings, final month, have been by far the bottom ever recorded, ever. They heard my phrases, they usually selected to not come, a lot simpler that means. Compared, beneath Joe Biden, the worst president in American historical past, there have been a whole bunch of 1000s of unlawful crossings a month, and nearly all of them, together with murderers, drug sellers, gang members and other people from psychological establishments and insane asylums have been launched into our nation.”
Get the Info: The Hearst Tv Knowledge Crew analyzed ICE arrest and deportation knowledge from the Workplace of Homeland Safety Statistics to offer a extra contextual take a look at how the previous few administrations have carried out immigration insurance policies.
The latest full knowledge on ICE arrests and deportations from the Workplace of Homeland Safety Statistics is three months behind, with ICE working towards publishing enforcement statistics each month, in line with an ICE spokesperson.
Get the Info within the associated story under
On Inflation
Declare: “Joe Biden particularly let the worth of EGGS get uncontrolled—and we’re working laborious to get it again down. A significant focus of our battle to defeat inflation is quickly lowering the price of power.”
Get the Info: The Hearst Tv Knowledge staff just lately analyzed costs and located the worth of eggs has fluctuated during the last two years, starting from its highest worth – $4.95 per dozen – to a low in August 2023 of $2.04 per dozen. Costs have been practically as excessive as they’re now within the winter and spring of 2023, when an outbreak of avian flu led to decrease provides. Equally, the USDA says costs are at present excessive resulting from a lack of manufacturing resulting from avian flu. Whereas the USDA predicts manufacturing to extend this 12 months, in addition they predict that the worth of eggs will enhance 41% in 2025. Whereas the Trump administration is optimistic its new plan to deal with avian flu will assist costs, economists say they don’t see a lot altering over the subsequent few months.
Learn extra:
President Trump releases plan for avian flu: https://apnews.com/article/record-egg-prices-usda-bird-flu-virus-92e9f5fbc4e0a792be484a4aee5b9c16
USDA Poultry, Dairy, Livestock outlook February 2025: https://ers.usda.gov/websites/default/recordsdata/_laserfiche/outlooks/110972/LDP-M-368.pdf?v=21887
Declare: Trump claimed that inflation is the worst the U.S. has seen in 48 years, saying, “We suffered the worst inflation in 48 years, however maybe even within the historical past of our nation.”
Get the Info: The Bureau of Labor Statistics screens and retains data about inflation. Trump’s suggestion that inflation beneath the Biden Administration was the worst in U.S. historical past is just not supported by historic knowledge. In line with BLS knowledge, inflation charges through the late Seventies and early Nineteen Eighties have been considerably larger than in recent times. In line with BLS and factcheck.org, the interval from June 1919 to June 1920 noticed the most important 12-month enhance of the Shopper Worth Index in U.S. historical past. At the moment, the CPI rose to 23.7 %. Beneath the Biden Administration, inflation reached its highest peak of 9.1% in June 2022. That was the most important enhance since November 1981, in line with BLS.
The Hearst Tv Knowledge Crew additionally examined the January inflation and Shopper Worth Index numbers and located that it was a setback for the financial system.
Learn extra:
Shopper Worth Index: https://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2014/article/one-hundred-years-of-price-change-the-consumer-price-index-and-the-american-inflation-experience.htm
Factcheck.org beforehand fact-checked Trump’s related feedback about inflation throughout his 2025 inaugural tackle: https://www.factcheck.org/2025/01/factchecking-trumps-inaugural-address/
BLS’ Shopper Worth Index information launch from June 2022: https://www.bls.gov/information.launch/archives/cpi_07132022.htm
On Small Companies
Declare: Trump stated that “small enterprise optimism noticed its single largest one-month acquire ever recorded—a 41-point leap.”
Get the Info: The Nationwide Federation of Unbiased Enterprise tracks small enterprise optimism and releases a month-to-month survey. The survey launched in January 2025 exhibits there was a notable enhance in optimism following Trump’s election. Nonetheless, the determine of a “41-point leap” is not supported by that survey.
The NFIB, in January 2025, reported that its Small Enterprise Optimism Index fell by 2.3 factors to 102.8.
The month prior, in December 2024, a single section of the NFIB Small Enterprise Optimism Index survey confirmed that “the online % of homeowners anticipating the financial system to enhance rose 41 factors from October to a internet 36%.” NFIB stated that was the best since June 2020, and that “this element had the best impression on the general enhance within the Optimism Index.” Nonetheless, within the aforementioned January 2025 survey, NFIB stated that the online % of homeowners anticipating the financial system to enhance fell 5 factors from December.
In releasing the survey in January, NFIB Chief Economist Invoice Dunkelberg stated, “General, small enterprise homeowners stay optimistic concerning future enterprise situations, however uncertainty is on the rise. Hiring challenges proceed to frustrate Predominant Road homeowners as they battle to search out certified staff to fill their many open positions. In the meantime, fewer plan capital investments as they put together for the months forward.”
Learn extra:
NFIB Month-to-month Report from January 2025: https://www.nfib.com/news-article/monthly_report/sbet/
The NFIB launch from December 2024: https://www.nfib.com/news-article/new-nfib-survey-small-business-optimism-jumps-above-50-year-average-in-november/
On Metal and tariffs
Declare: “And I’ve additionally impose a 25% tariff on international aluminum, copper, lumber and metal, as a result of if we do not have for example, metal and many different issues, we do not have a army, and admittedly, will not have we simply will not have a rustic very lengthy.”
Get the Info: Trump claimed that tariffs can be the important thing to creating America wealthy once more. Whereas the results of Trump’s tariff has but to be seen, the Hearst Tv Knowledge Crew has investigated the place and from whom the U.S. imports its metal and aluminum.
Get the Info within the associated story under
Declare: “Tariffs are about making America wealthy once more and making America nice once more,” Trump stated. “And it’s occurring. And it’ll occur slightly rapidly. There’ll be a bit disturbance, however we’re okay with that. It gained’t be a lot.”
Get the Info: Trump is banking on the concept taxing imports is the highway to riches for america. Most economists say Trump’s tariffs would damage the nation, as they’re tax will increase that would increase the prices of products in ways in which might additionally hurt financial development. Trump means that the impression on inflation can be minimal.
When the Yale College Price range Lab regarded on the tariffs that Trump imposed Tuesday on Canada, Mexico and China, it discovered that inflation would enhance a full proportion level, development would fall by half a proportion level and the typical family would lose about $1,600 in disposable revenue.
Learn extra:
AP protection of Trump’s speech: https://apnews.com/dwell/donald-trump-address-congress-updates
On the path of the nation
Declare: Trump stated that polls targeted on how Individuals really feel concerning the path the nation is headed in present that Individuals imagine the nation is headed in a optimistic path. Trump stated, “Now, for the primary time in fashionable historical past, extra Individuals imagine that our nation is headed within the RIGHT path than the WRONG path—a 27-point swing since Election Day.”
Get the Info: A number of latest public opinion polls have touched on the topic. A Reuters/Ipsos survey launched the day of Trump’s tackle to Congress exhibits that “many Individuals stay pessimistic concerning the path of the nation usually.” That very same ballot exhibits that 34% of Individuals say the nation goes in the precise path, whereas 49% say it’s off on the improper observe.
In its “Satisfaction With america” ballot, Gallup discovered that, normally, 77% of Individuals who have been polled stated they’re dissatisfied with the way in which issues are going. That’s in comparison with 20% who’re happy and three% who had no opinion.
In its “path of the nation” polling, RealClear finds that 51.6% really feel the nation is on the improper observe whereas 42% say the nation is heading in the right direction.
Learn extra:
Ipsos/Reuters ballot launched the night time of Trump’s tackle to Congress: https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/three-five-americans-say-cost-living-going-wrong-direction
Gallup’s “Satisfaction With america” polling: https://information.gallup.com/ballot/1669/general-mood-country.aspx
RealClear “Route of the Nation” polling: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of-the-union/direction-of-country
On Social Safety
Declare: “Consider it or not, authorities databases listing 4.7 million Social Safety members from individuals aged 100 to 109 years previous. It lists 3.6 million individuals from ages 110 to 119.”
Get the Info: The databases could listing these individuals, however that doesn’t imply they’re getting paid advantages, as Trump implied.
Social Safety’s appearing administrator, Lee Dudek, stated final month: “The reported knowledge are individuals in our data with a Social Safety quantity who wouldn’t have a date of demise related to their document. These people usually are not essentially receiving advantages.”
A part of the confusion comes from Social Safety’s software program system, which relies on the COBOL programming language and has an absence of date sort. Because of this some entries with lacking or incomplete birthdates will default to a reference level of greater than 150 years in the past.
Learn extra:
Tens of hundreds of thousands of useless persons are not receiving Social Safety funds, regardless of claims: https://apnews.com/article/social-security-payments-deceased-false-claims-doge-ed2885f5769f368853ac3615b4852cf7
The Related Press contributed to this story.