Orleans News

Low likelihood of improvement attainable within the Caribbean and Atlantic


Monitoring 2 programs within the tropics. Here is the newest

There can be a brand new tropical system within the Caribbean early subsequent week.

1ST. ALL THESE GORGEOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS HERE ARE HERE TO STAY FOR AT LEAST THE REST OF THIS EVENING. BUT HEADING INTO TOMORROW, WE GOT SOME CHANGES ON THE WAY AS WE’RE WATCHING OUR NEXT STORM SYSTEM EXPECTED TO BRING US A CHANCE OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS. THERE’S A LIVE LOOK WHERE WE STAND RIGHT NOW. SATELLITE AND RADAR WISE. GOT SOME CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA THIS EVENING, BUT THAT’S ABOUT IT. AS WE WIDEN OUT THE PICTURE. THIS IS OUR NEXT SYSTEM. IT’S A COLD FRONT BACK TO THE WEST OF US, AND WE’RE GOING TO BE MONITORING IT CLOSELY AS IT INCHES CLOSER BECAUSE OUT AHEAD OF IT WE’RE LOOKING AT RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS. IN FACT, SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT COULD AFFECT OUR NEIGHBORS OFF TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE ARK-LA-TEX AND OZARKS REGION, MAY EVEN TURN STRONG TO SEVERE. THEY’RE UNDER A LEVEL TWO SLIGHT RISK. AS A MATTER OF FACT, HERE IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA, WE’RE UNDER THAT LEVEL ONE MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER. THAT’S MAINLY FOR THE NORTH SHORE AND ALSO PARTS OF SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AS WELL. THE MAIN IMPACTS WITH THESE STORMS AS THEY MOVE THROUGH FOR TOMORROW NIGHT ARE REALLY JUST SOME DAMAGING AND SOME GUSTY WINDS AT TIMES. I HAVE THAT AS A LOW IMPACT. AND SPEAKING OF LOW, SAME FOR HAIL, TORNADOES AND FLOODING BECAUSE IT LOOKS LIKE AS FAR AS THE FLOODING IS CONCERNED, MAYBE AROUND A HALF INCH OR SO, BUT NOT MUCH. MAYBE SOME LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE AS THOSE SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVE THROUGH, BUT THAT’S ABOUT IT. WE’LL TIME IT OUT FOR YOU. NEXT. WE’LL TAKE YOU INTO TOMORROW. WE’LL START WITH THAT. WITH THE SHOWERS AND STORMS BEGINNING TO FIRE UP AS WE HEAD TO 3:00 IN THE DAY TOMORROW, AND THEN THEY BECOME A LITTLE BIT MORE SCATTERED IN NATURE. IN SOME LOCATIONS, SUCH AS THE BAYOU THERE, FOR EXAMPLE, BY 8:00 IN THE EVENING, BUT THEN BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD AND NUMEROUS ACROSS THE NORTH SHORE BY MIDNIGHT ON SUNDAY. AND THEN HERE WE GO AS WE HEAD INTO 2:00 IN THE MORNING ON SUNDAY, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STILL ROLLING THROUGH THE NORTH SHORE AND PARTS OF THE SOUTH SHORE AS WELL. SOUTH MISSISSIPPI. BUT THEN EVERYTHING MOVES OUT. NASTY WEATHER IS OFF TO THE EAST OF US BY 5 A.M., AS THAT COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH AND LOOK AT THAT SUNDAY AFTERNOON, WE’RE LOOKING CLEAR AND SUNNY. HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN BEHIND THAT COLD FRONT. AND THAT’S GOING TO TURN OUR WEATHER NICE HERE. AS WE HEAD INTO MONDAY AS WELL. SO THIS WEATHER PATTERN INTO NEXT WEEK IS DEFINITELY LOOKING GOOD. GOT ANOTHER COLD FRONT TO MOVING THROUGH BY THE WAY INTO NEXT WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND THAT SYSTEM TO REINFORCE MORE CLEAR SKIES AND SUNSHINE AND DRY CONDITIONS AND THINGS OF THAT NATURE. SO A HUMID DAY FOR TOMORROW OUT AHEAD OF IT. AND THEN WE’RE LOOKING DRY AND COMFORTABLE BEHIND THAT STORM SYSTEM SUNDAY, MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. AND REALLY, THE MAJORITY OF NEXT WEEK IS LOOKING PRETTY SIMILAR TO THAT WITH MAINLY STABLE CONDITIONS. WE’RE WATCHING TWO IN THE TROPICS. I GOT ONE SYSTEM KEEPING A CLOSE EYE ON THE NORTH ATLANTIC. NOT REALLY WORRIED ABOUT THAT. IT’S GOING TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST. AND THEN WE’RE WATCHING ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ATLANTIC. SO LET’S START WITH THE ONE IN THE NORTH ATLANTIC. IT’S A YELLOW. IT’S A LOW 10% CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT THAT’S GOING TO MOVE EAST AND AWAY FROM US. THIS TROPICAL WAVE THAT’S MOVING INTO THE CARIBBEAN SEA IN ABOUT A WEEK OR A FEW DAYS, RATHER DOES HAVE A CHANCE, A SLIGHT CHANCE OF BECOMING A NAMED SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. THOSE CHANCES CURRENTLY AT 30%. BUT I WOULD IMAGINE AS DAYS GO ON HERE, THOSE CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE. IN FACT, SOME OF THE MODELS ARE PRETTY EXCITED ABOUT THE SYSTEM ENTERING THE CARIBBEAN SEA, WHERE IT COULD BECOME A NAMED STORM, OR SOMETHING EVEN MUCH STRONGER THAN THAT. BUT THERE’S NO CONCERNS HERE TO SOUTHEAST LOUISIAN

Monitoring 2 programs within the tropics. Here is the newest

There can be a brand new tropical system within the Caribbean early subsequent week.

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Up to date: 7:10 PM CDT Oct 17, 2025

Editorial Requirements

EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND CARIBBEAN SEA:A tropical wave situated over the central tropical Atlantic round 1000 miles east of the Windward Islands continues to provide a big space of showers and thunderstorms. Gradual improvement of this technique is feasible over the following a number of days whereas it strikes typically westward at 15 to twenty mph. No matter improvement, this technique is anticipated to carry heavy rainfall and gusty winds to the Windward Islands late this weekend after which transfer throughout the Caribbean Sea a lot of subsequent week.WHAT WE KNOW:Improvement probabilities over the following 2 days: Low, 0%.Improvement over the following 3-7 days: Low, 30%. IMPACTS TO LAND:Heavy rain and gusty winds attainable over the Windward Islands late this weekend. NORTH ATLANTIC:A non-tropical space of low strain is situated effectively off the coast of the Northeast United States. There’s a slight likelihood that the system might develop some subtropical traits through the weekend earlier than it turns northeastward over cooler waters by early subsequent week. WHAT WE KNOW:Improvement probabilities over the following 2 days: Low, 10%.Improvement probabilities over the following 3-7 days: Low, 10%.IMPACTS TO LAND:No impacts to land.

EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND CARIBBEAN SEA:

A tropical wave situated over the central tropical Atlantic round 1000 miles east of the Windward Islands continues to provide a big space of showers and thunderstorms. Gradual improvement of this technique is feasible over the following a number of days whereas it strikes typically westward at 15 to twenty mph. No matter improvement, this technique is anticipated to carry heavy rainfall and gusty winds to the Windward Islands late this weekend after which transfer throughout the Caribbean Sea a lot of subsequent week.

WHAT WE KNOW:

  • Improvement probabilities over the following 2 days: Low, 0%.
  • Improvement over the following 3-7 days: Low, 30%.

IMPACTS TO LAND:

  • Heavy rain and gusty winds attainable over the Windward Islands late this weekend.

NORTH ATLANTIC:

A non-tropical space of low strain is situated effectively off the coast of the Northeast United States. There’s a slight likelihood that the system might develop some subtropical traits through the weekend earlier than it turns northeastward over cooler waters by early subsequent week.

WHAT WE KNOW:

  • Improvement probabilities over the following 2 days: Low, 10%.
  • Improvement probabilities over the following 3-7 days: Low, 10%.

IMPACTS TO LAND:

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